ERW CommandPower

THE INTELLIGENT POWER LEADERSHIP PROGRAMME

From power-poor to decision-rich.

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15-Session Programme · 25 Minutes Per Day · Free · For leaders in Nigeria’s power and energy sector
WEEK 2 OF 3 · FOUNDATIONS, PROCUREMENT AND THE FIRST INTERVENTION · SESSIONS 6–10 · WORK AT YOUR OWN PACE
This week’s assessments: Pop Quiz 2 — Data, People and Money Pits after Session 8 · Practice Exam 2 — Foundations, Procurement and the First Intervention after Session 10
By Session 15: you hold a signed 90-Day AI Readiness Plan for your own company · Every assignment marked against a published rubric · Pass mark 70
Chapters 5 to 7 · Company FoundationsSESSION 6
The Data Readiness Doctrine
Session 6 of 15 · 25-Minute Module

Why This Matters

In Session 5 you chose a use your company can execute. Today you test whether the evidence behind it can carry the weight. A company can own large databases and still lack the evidence a particular decision needs. This is the Data-Foundation Precondition from Session 1 made practical. You do not need perfect corporate data; you need evidence fit for one decision, with its weaknesses visible. By the end you will know which identities must be resolved, which time and unit conventions must be fixed, what your target label really means, where the operational boundary sits and who releases and maintains the dataset.

25-Minute Module
5:00 – 11:00
Resolve identity before analysing patterns
  • Identity means knowing that two records refer to the same thing. The same transformer can appear under different names in a geographic information system, a maintenance database and a spreadsheet. A replacement asset can inherit an earlier identifier unless the change is recorded, and a model may then combine the histories of different equipment.
  • ON THE PLANT AND NETWORK · THE WORKED CASE
    • Plant and network. A fictional distribution company wants to rank transformers for inspection, but its maintenance records and network map name units differently and replaced units carry their predecessors' identifiers. Until a reviewed crosswalk exists, the ranking mixes different equipment.
    IN THE COMMERCIAL CHAIN · THE PARALLEL
    • Commercial chain. The same company's commercial team reviewing unusual consumption must know which meter served which account during the period analysed. A present-day mapping can make a meter exchange look like an unexplained consumption change, and, as Session 5 established, an anomaly is not proof of theft. Same loop, seen twice.
  • Build the minimum crosswalk, a reviewed mapping between identifiers, and retain uncertain matches for review rather than forcing a confident join. The acceptance standard reflects the consequence: an aggregate planning error differs from an incorrect customer investigation.
  • THE DOCTRINE

    The crosswalk needs a maintenance process: who records changes, who approves them and which systems receive the correction. One-time cleanup that ignores ordinary equipment and account changes will deteriorate after deployment.

Ask the team how they know which meter served this account last year, not which meter serves it today.
16:00 – 21:00
What the target means, and the boundary you protect
  • The target is the outcome a model learns to predict, recorded as a label such as failed, fraudulent, unpaid or complete. Each needs an agreed definition. A suspected irregularity is not a confirmed finding; a payment received is not necessarily a payment allocated correctly.
  • Have the process owner and record creators review a sample of labels; keeping uncertainty is preferable to creating false ground truth. Ask how cases entered the dataset: if only inspected accounts have findings, a model can inherit the earlier inspection choices. None of this justifies collecting every available field.
  • Protect the operational boundary. A read-only analytical feed can reduce the need for an experimental service to interact with control systems. NIST's Guide to Operational Technology Security, SP 800-82 Revision 3, published in 2023, addresses OT's distinct safety, reliability and performance concerns. Applied to AI: an experimental analytical service should not receive write access to control equipment simply to make integration easier.
  • Removing a name does not necessarily make a customer anonymous if account, location or consumption information still identifies them. The privacy owner approves access; an informal claim of anonymisation is not an adequate control.
  • Data testAcceptance evidenceResponse to failure
    IdentityReviewed equipment, account or meter mappingHold affected cases for reconciliation
    TimeAgreed availability and timestamp rulesExclude or flag incompatible intervals
    UnitsVerified definitions and transformationsCorrect the source or transformation
    CompletenessMissingness assessed against the decisionWithhold or qualify the output
    LabelsReviewed outcomes and uncertaintyRevise the task or seek verified findings
    AccessApproved purpose, permissions and retentionStop unauthorised extraction or use
A label is a claim someone made about a case. Ask who made it, and on what evidence.
Key Terms

Identity crosswalk

A reviewed, maintained mapping of which equipment, meter or account records refer to the same thing in the period analysed.

Release record

How a dataset was assembled: extraction date, source versions where available, population, transformations and exclusions.

Self-Check — Before You Submit
1. A fictional distribution company's model flags an account whose recorded consumption fell sharply. The records show a meter exchange during the period, and the meter-to-account mapping used is today's. What should the commercial manager do?
  • A. Open a theft investigation, because the fall is large
  • B. Hold the case until the meter-to-account history is reconciled
  • C. Remove the account from the dataset
  • D. Impute the missing consumption
B. Hold the case until the meter-to-account history is reconciled — A present-day mapping can make a meter exchange look like an unexplained consumption change, and the response to an identity failure is to hold affected cases. Opening an investigation is the tempting error: an anomaly is not proof of misconduct.
2. Which statement correctly separates power from energy?
  • A. kWh measures a rate and kW measures energy over an interval
  • B. Power and energy are interchangeable once multipliers are applied
  • C. kW and MW describe a rate; kWh and MWh describe energy over an interval
  • D. Currency per kWh is a measure of power
C. kW and MW describe a rate; kWh and MWh describe energy over an interval — Power is a rate; energy is the amount over an interval. The trap is thinking multipliers make them interchangeable: multipliers must be preserved, but they do not turn a rate into an amount.
3. A supplier reports strong early-warning performance on a clean historical dataset that includes later corrections. What is the right challenge?
  • A. Ask for a larger dataset
  • B. Accept the result, because corrected data is more accurate
  • C. Ask for a higher accuracy figure before proceeding
  • D. Ask whether the evidence was available at the decision time
D. Ask whether the evidence was available at the decision time — Later corrections were not known at the decision time, and the deployed service must work with evidence the user could obtain then. A clean retrospective dataset is useful for analysis, which is exactly why it can flatter a retrospective early-warning claim.

Today’s Assignment

Write Section 6 of your plan: the evidence picture for your Session 1 decision.
  • Write the data contract for the decision in your company: required fields, sources, owners, meaning, availability and when a recommendation is withheld.
  • Name the identities to resolve, the crosswalk, how uncertain matches are held, and who maintains it.
  • State the time and unit conventions, including power or energy, multipliers, missingness and later corrections.
  • Define what the target label means, how cases entered the records, and what remains uncertain.
  • Name the boundary to protect, who approves access, and who issues the readiness statement and release record.
  • The honest part: where your company treats an estimate or suspicion as established fact. If no AI is in use yet, that is normal; work from the decision or proposal in front of you. Aim for 400 to 900 words.
YOUR 90-DAY PLAN

Section 6 — The evidence for our decision: identity, time, units, target meaning and the protected boundary.

How this is marked — the rubric
Names identities, the crosswalk, uncertain-match treatment and a maintenance owner by role25
States explicit time and unit conventions, including power versus energy and availability25
Defines the target label and how cases entered the records20
Names the boundary, access approver and release owner, with an honest example30
Total · pass mark 70100
Submitting session 6
Write your answer in Word or Google Docs. The first line must read Session: 6, or the submission is refused. Upload the Word file (.docx), or switch to the Google Doc tab and paste your document’s share link.
Marked against the rubric above and returned as a written letter, saved to your progress page. Do not submit until you have passed the self-check above.
Capabilities Covered
Data contractsIdentity resolutionPower and energy disciplineLabel integrityOperational boundary protection
Tick it once you have submitted.Next: Session 7 →
Chapters 5 to 7 · Company FoundationsSESSION 7
The Organisational Readiness Doctrine
Session 7 of 15 · 25-Minute Module

Why This Matters

In Session 6 you tested whether the evidence can carry your decision. Today you test whether the organisation can. An AI programme can have a sponsor, a steering committee and a delivery plan while lacking anyone able to change the operating decision. Leaving that gap to be negotiated later creates an implementation risk the committee could have identified earlier. The duties matter more than the number of committees or job titles. This session puts authority beside responsibility, designs the work with the people who will do it, trains for actual duties, aligns measures with the result you intend, and prepares the manager who inherits the service when the project team leaves. It is the receiving-organisation half of the Sequencing Discipline.

25-Minute Module
6:00 – 12:00
Design the work with the people doing it
  • A recommendation needs a place in the working day: who receives it, how it is prioritised and what evidence the person sees. A separate application that makes users re-enter records into maintenance or billing systems can add enough burden to undermine adoption.
  • Observe the task with its users. Ask what happens during a communications failure, a disputed record or an urgent competing incident. These discussions identify requirements; they should not legitimise unsafe shortcuts.
  • ON THE PLANT AND NETWORK · THE WORKED CASE
    • Plant and network. A fictional generation company's maintenance planners receive equipment alerts. The interface shows the basis of each alert, the age of the evidence and a route to request review, so a planner with better field evidence can challenge it. Overrides are recorded with reasons and reviewed.
    IN THE COMMERCIAL CHAIN · THE PARALLEL
    • Commercial chain. In a fictional distribution company's billing-dispute queue, an officer who finds a wrong customer match must be able to challenge it, not accept it because senior management introduced the tool. Same loop, seen twice: challenge can reveal a model limitation, a record defect or a misunderstood process.
  • THE DOCTRINE

    Investigate the pattern of overrides without assuming every override is either resistance or wisdom. The outcome of that review belongs in improvement of the service and workflow.

If nobody ever overrides the tool, ask whether they can.
17:00 – 21:00
Align measures with the intended result
  • Performance measures influence behaviour. Rewarding closure alone can encourage staff to close alerts without establishing findings. Short-term collection targets can encourage inappropriate treatment of disputed bills. Punishing early escalation can conceal the signals a project-risk model is supposed to reveal.
  • A verified correction, a safely completed intervention or an accepted deliverable means more than an output viewed or a task marked complete. This is the Operations-Excellence Lens applied to people: activity is not outcome.
  • Review protective measures alongside the primary outcome, as you set them in Session 2, so an apparent gain cannot conceal unfair treatment or an unacceptable operating risk.
  • Explain what staff information will be collected and why. A decision-support tool should not quietly become undisclosed monitoring.
Read your current scorecard as a frontline user would, and ask what it rewards them for doing.
Key Terms

Model owner

The person responsible for the technical service: evaluation, deployment and monitoring.

Receiving manager

The manager who inherits the service after the project team leaves and confirms workload, cover, budget and limitations first.

Self-Check — Before You Submit
1. A fictional distribution company rewards its collections team only for the number of disputed-bill cases closed each month. A new recommendation queue goes live. What is the main risk, and the right response?
  • A. Remove all measures from the team
  • B. Retrain the model every month
  • C. Cases closed without findings; add verified-correction and protective measures
  • D. None, because closures show adoption
C. Cases closed without findings; add verified-correction and protective measures — Rewarding closure alone can encourage staff to close cases without establishing findings, and short-term collection targets can encourage inappropriate treatment of disputed bills. Reading closures as adoption is the tempting error: it counts activity, not a verified outcome.
2. How does the book treat the six duties around an AI-supported decision (sponsor, process, data, model, control and finance owners)?
  • A. As duties that each need a named person with time and authority, not as compulsory new positions
  • B. As six new job titles to create before a pilot
  • C. As roles that a delivery manager can perform on everyone's behalf
  • D. As a committee whose size shows readiness
A. As duties that each need a named person with time and authority, not as compulsory new positions — The book says these are duties, not compulsory new positions, and a small company may combine roles. A delivery manager can coordinate but is not a substitute for the accountable specialists, and an impressive organisation chart is not evidence of operating capacity.
3. A fictional generation company's pilot succeeded while a project team gave it intensive daily attention. The sponsor wants to adopt it next month. What must happen first?
  • A. Adoption can proceed, because the pilot proved the service works
  • B. The project team should stay indefinitely to keep results stable
  • C. Users should attend a general AI seminar before go-live
  • D. The receiving manager reviews the complete service and which temporary supports will disappear
D. The receiving manager reviews the complete service and which temporary supports will disappear — A success sustained by unusually intensive attention may establish feasibility without establishing a sustainable operating model. Treating the pilot result as proof of an operable service is the trap, and a generic seminar does not show anyone can use the recommendation safely.

Today’s Assignment

Write Section 7 of your plan: authority beside responsibility for your Session 1 decision, and the manager who inherits the service.
  • Complete the six duties for your decision in your company, with a named role holder, contribution and evidence for each. Mark any duty where nobody has the time and authority.
  • Name who must help design the work, where the output sits in their day, and how challenge and overrides work.
  • State the training each group needs for its actual duties, with deputies named.
  • Name one current measure that rewards the wrong behaviour, and its replacement.
  • Describe what the manager inheriting the service must confirm before adoption, and how the service would be retired.
  • The honest part: where your company currently assigns responsibility without the authority to act. If no AI is in use yet, that is normal; work from the decision or proposal in front of you. Aim for 400 to 900 words.
YOUR 90-DAY PLAN

Section 7 — Authority beside responsibility, the work designed with its people and the inheriting manager.

How this is marked — the rubric
Names a role holder for each duty and identifies where authority is missing30
Describes the work designed with users, including challenge and overrides20
Specifies duty-based training and continuity cover15
Replaces a measure that rewards the wrong behaviour with one of verified result15
States the inheriting manager's checks and retirement route, with an honest example20
Total · pass mark 70100
Submitting session 7
Write your answer in Word or Google Docs. The first line must read Session: 7, or the submission is refused. Upload the Word file (.docx), or switch to the Google Doc tab and paste your document’s share link.
Marked against the rubric above and returned as a written letter, saved to your progress page. Do not submit until you have passed the self-check above.
Capabilities Covered
Accountability mappingWork design with usersDuty-based trainingMeasure designService handover
Tick it once you have submitted.Next: Session 8 →
Chapters 5 to 7 · ProcurementSESSION 8
Avoiding the AI Money Pits
Session 8 of 15 · 25-Minute Module

Why This Matters

Sessions 6 and 7 tested whether your evidence and your organisation are ready. Today you test the purchase. A vendor presentation can combine a software licence, a model service, an integration project, training and a promise of business improvement in one attractive proposal. A company can receive licensed software while still lacking the records and authority needed to obtain value from it. This session teaches you to separate what is being bought, to tell a demonstration from an evaluation, to cost the complete service including currency exposure, to negotiate evidence and exit, to link payment to delivery you can inspect, and to close a pilot deliberately. Each is a place where money can disappear quietly.

25-Minute Module
5:00 – 10:00
Separate demonstration from evaluation
  • A demonstration shows what a service can do under selected conditions. An evaluation examines it on evidence representative of intended use, including the inconvenient cases. A demonstration dataset should not become the basis for an investment decision unless it is also appropriate evaluation material.
  • Control the test records. Ask which the supplier used for development and which remain unseen for the agreed test. For forecasts, preserve information available at the decision time; for document services, include superseded versions, conflicting sources and questions with no supported answer.
  • Agree measures before the supplier sees the result, or a favourable metric can be chosen after observation. Acceptance covers useful performance, workflow, integration and controls; a strong technical score cannot compensate for unauthorised access or an inability to export the records the business process requires.
  • A bounded investigation can proceed without a production-platform commitment. State its question, cost limit, duration, outputs and stopping route, so it does not quietly become the first instalment of a much larger obligation.
Ask the supplier which of your records they have never seen. Those are the ones to test on.
15:00 – 21:00
Negotiate evidence and exit, and pay for what you can inspect
  • Contract issueQuestion for procurementEvidence to retain
    PerformanceWhat is tested, on which records and against what alternative?Agreed evaluation and acceptance record
    Data rightsWho may use, retain or train on company information?Purpose, access and retention terms
    IntegrationWhich systems and operating conditions are supported?Interface specification and failure behaviour
    SupportWho responds when the service fails or changes?Responsibilities and escalation route
    Change costWhich events create additional charges?Pricing schedule and assumptions
    ExitCan the company retrieve records and continue the process?Export format, migration test and termination terms
  • THE DOCTRINE

    Demonstrate portability. The company should retrieve inputs, findings, decisions and outputs in a form another service or process can use. Exporting unreadable proprietary files is not a practical exit.

  • Set confidentiality and processing conditions: approved locations, relevant subcontractors, and no use of company information in a supplier's wider service or training process without an authorised agreement. Require version information, notice of material changes and regression testing, and keep a route to suspend a changed service that behaves unacceptably.
  • Payment milestones should describe deliverables the buyer can inspect: an interface working, records transferred correctly, operating acceptance achieved, each with a named acceptor and evidence. A broad assertion that the AI platform has been installed leaves too much unresolved, and a promised percentage saving without a baseline or comparison can become a dispute rather than protection.
  • Test difficult conditions before acceptance: a failed source connection, stale information, changed permissions and an export request.
The time to test the exit is while the relationship is working.
Key Terms

Evaluation

Testing on evidence representative of intended use, including unseen records and inconvenient cases, against measures agreed in advance.

Portability

The demonstrated ability to retrieve inputs, findings, decisions and outputs in a usable form.

Self-Check — Before You Submit
1. A fictional mini-grid developer's supplier offers to link part of its fee to a promised percentage saving. The developer has no agreed baseline for the decision. What should the commercial director do?
  • A. Accept, because it protects the developer
  • B. Reject all performance terms
  • C. Pay now and measure later
  • D. Agree the baseline, comparison, dependencies and attribution evidence first
D. Agree the baseline, comparison, dependencies and attribution evidence first — Results can depend on customer policy, available crews, engineering approvals and conditions outside the supplier's control. A promised percentage saving without a baseline or comparison can become a dispute rather than protection, which is why accepting it as protection is the tempting error.
2. Which is the strongest procurement milestone for releasing a payment?
  • A. Records transferred correctly, accepted by a named owner on stated evidence
  • B. The supplier confirms the AI platform has been installed
  • C. A successful demonstration to the executive committee
  • D. The project schedule date for go-live has arrived
A. Records transferred correctly, accepted by a named owner on stated evidence — A milestone should describe a deliverable the buyer can inspect, with a named acceptor and supporting evidence. A broad assertion that the platform is installed leaves too much unresolved, and a demonstration or a date arriving does not establish delivery.
3. When should the measures used to accept a supplier's service be agreed?
  • A. After the test, once the most informative metric is known
  • B. Before the supplier sees the result
  • C. When the supplier proposes its preferred metrics
  • D. Only at contract renewal
B. Before the supplier sees the result — If measures are agreed after observation, a favourable metric can be chosen to fit the result. Choosing the most informative metric after the test sounds reasonable, but it is how a weak service can pass acceptance.

Today’s Assignment

Write Section 8 of your plan: what your company would buy for your Session 1 decision, its complete cost and the evidence, exit and payment terms you would require.
  • Write the operating specification for the purchase your company would consider, separate what is being bought, and name the simpler alternative.
  • Separate demonstration from evaluation: unseen records, inconvenient cases and measures agreed in advance.
  • Cost the complete service: one-time and recurring items, internal capacity, currency exposure with the assumptions finance must supply, and the events that trigger additional fees. Do not invent figures; where you do not yet have a number, name who will supply it.
  • Set your terms on performance, data rights, integration, support, change cost and exit, inspectable payment milestones and closure.
  • The honest part: where your company has previously paid for something it could not inspect, could not exit or could not operate after the supplier left. If no AI is in use yet, that is normal; work from the proposal in front of you. Aim for 400 to 900 words.
YOUR 90-DAY PLAN

Section 8 — What we would buy, the complete cost and the evidence, exit and payment terms.

How this is marked — the rubric
Writes an operating specification that separates the purchased elements and names the simpler alternative25
Separates demonstration from evaluation with unseen records, inconvenient cases and measures agreed in advance20
Costs the complete service, including internal capacity, currency exposure and fee triggers, without invented figures25
Sets evidence, exit, inspectable payment and closure terms, and gives an honest example from past purchasing30
Total · pass mark 70100
Submitting session 8
Write your answer in Word or Google Docs. The first line must read Session: 8, or the submission is refused. Upload the Word file (.docx), or switch to the Google Doc tab and paste your document’s share link.
Marked against the rubric above and returned as a written letter, saved to your progress page. Do not submit until you have passed the self-check above.
ASSESSMENT NOW OPEN

Pop Quiz 2 — Data, People and Money Pits opens now. Sit it before you start the next session — it is how you find out whether the doctrine landed, and the practice papers may be resat as often as you like.

5 questions · 10 minutes · covers Sessions 6–8 · pass mark 70
Sit Pop Quiz 2 →Closed book, no notes, and Coach Ritchie switches himself off while you sit it.
Capabilities Covered
Operating specificationEvaluation designComplete service costingExit and portabilityInspectable payment milestonesDeliberate pilot closure
Tick it once you have submitted.Next: Session 9 →
Chapters 8 to 13 · The First InterventionSESSION 9
The Right First Step
Session 9 of 15 · 25-Minute Module

Why This Matters

You now have the evidence, organisation and procurement tests. Today you write the charter for a first intervention on your decision, before anyone arranges a demonstration. The book's first step is deliberately modest: one useful decision the company can investigate at a controlled cost. A narrow question is easier to assess than an ambition to transform the whole organisation. The charter states the question, the baseline and comparison, the design around the capacity your teams actually have, and an observation period long enough to reveal the result. The aim is not a successful pilot. The aim is an intervention that lets management choose, on evidence, whether to scale, investigate further or stop.

25-Minute Module
5:00 – 10:00
Write the charter before the demonstration
  • The charter states the current process and proposed change, the decisions the service may support and the actions it may not take, the baseline, evaluation method, cost ceiling, responsibilities and the evidence required at the final review. It should be understandable without a vendor presentation.
  • Success requires both a useful operating result and appropriate controls. For inspections, useful findings matter alongside false accusations, complaint handling and safe execution; for maintenance, treatment must remain within approved engineering practice.
  • State stopping conditions in advance. A material privacy breach, unsafe behaviour or failure of an essential control can justify suspension regardless of the reported benefit; other weaknesses may call for repair and retest. Name who can suspend the intervention and who can authorise its restart.
  • The cost ceiling includes internal capacity: record what is deferred or redirected so the committee sees the opportunity cost.
Write the stopping conditions while everyone is still calm.
16:00 – 21:00
Design around capacity, and observe long enough
  • Determine how many outputs staff can review and how many actions the company can complete. If the queue runs far beyond that capacity, users may select cases arbitrarily or ignore it, and the operating method then differs from the evaluated design.
  • ON THE PLANT AND NETWORK · THE WORKED CASE
    • Plant and network. A fictional transmission asset owner's crews can complete only so many inspections in a period. The useful test is whether the cases the service selects within that capacity lead to better verified findings than the cases selected by the current method, not its classification score across every asset.
    IN THE COMMERCIAL CHAIN · THE PARALLEL
    • Commercial chain. A fictional distribution company's account-investigation team faces the same arithmetic. Recording why recommendations did not lead to action, such as no access, further evidence needed or urgent competing work, can show that the next investment belongs in operating capacity rather than another model.
  • Choose an observation period that can reveal the result. A frequent document task generates evidence quickly; a rare equipment failure may not occur during the intervention. Distinguish evidence sufficient to assess the workflow from evidence sufficient to establish a reduction in failure exposure.
  • An absence of observed harm does not, by itself, establish safety or reliability. Report evidence limits rather than present a clean incident log as a universal outcome. Monitor whether comparison groups remain comparable.
A ranking is judged at the capacity you have, not the capacity you wish you had.
Key Terms

Baseline

The agreed starting measure for a defined population, period and source records, fixed before deployment.

Stopping condition

A condition stated in advance, such as unsafe behaviour, that justifies suspension regardless of reported benefit.

Self-Check — Before You Submit
1. A fictional distribution company cannot yet reconcile last year's collection records for the population in scope. The project team proposes an estimated starting value so the pilot can start on schedule. What should the sponsor decide?
  • A. Approve the estimate, since it can be corrected later
  • B. Start the pilot without any baseline and compare informally
  • C. Make measurement or reconciliation the first task before deployment
  • D. Use the sector aggregate as the baseline instead
C. Make measurement or reconciliation the first task before deployment — Where a credible baseline cannot be established, the first task is measurement or reconciliation, and a starting value should not be created to keep a schedule intact. A sector aggregate is no substitute for the company's own reconciled baseline, as Session 2 showed.
2. What can a shadow stage establish?
  • A. Whether records arrive in time, alerts are manageable and explanations are useful
  • B. The financial benefit of actions the service recommended
  • C. That the service is safe in live operation
  • D. The consequence of actions that were never taken
A. Whether records arrive in time, alerts are manageable and explanations are useful — A shadow stage shows what the service would have recommended without changing the decision. It cannot prove the consequence of actions never taken, which is why a bounded live stage is needed before any benefit is claimed.
3. A fictional generation company's pilot on a rare equipment failure mode records no incidents during its observation period. What does that establish?
  • A. That the service has reduced failure exposure
  • B. That the service is reliable and can be scaled
  • C. That the observation period was long enough
  • D. Little by itself: the absence of observed harm may reflect limited exposure or a short period
D. Little by itself: the absence of observed harm may reflect limited exposure or a short period — A rare failure may not occur during the intervention, and an absence of observed harm does not, by itself, establish safety or reliability. Reading a clean incident log as reduced exposure is the tempting error; examine control design and failure routes too.

Today’s Assignment

Write Section 9 of your plan: the charter for a first intervention on your Session 1 decision.
  • Write the one-sentence question for your company's first intervention, bounded by process, population and authority, and name the operating owner who nominates it.
  • Write the charter: proposed change, permitted and prohibited actions, cost ceiling including internal capacity, and stopping conditions with who may suspend and restart.
  • Set the baseline and comparison, with plausible alternative explanations.
  • Design around capacity: how many outputs your teams can review and act on, and how the reasons for no action will be recorded.
  • Choose the observation period and state what it can and cannot reveal.
  • The honest part: where your company has previously judged a project against a baseline created to keep a schedule. If no AI is in use yet, that is normal; the charter may conclude that a simpler method should be tested first. Aim for 400 to 900 words.
YOUR 90-DAY PLAN

Section 9 — The intervention charter: question, baseline, comparison, capacity and observation period.

How this is marked — the rubric
States a bounded question by process, population and authority with a nominating operating owner20
Writes a charter with permitted and prohibited actions, a cost ceiling including internal capacity and stopping conditions with named authority25
Sets a baseline and comparison with alternative explanations identified25
Designs the intervention around actual review and action capacity15
Chooses an observation period with its evidence limits stated, and gives an honest past example15
Total · pass mark 70100
Submitting session 9
Write your answer in Word or Google Docs. The first line must read Session: 9, or the submission is refused. Upload the Word file (.docx), or switch to the Google Doc tab and paste your document’s share link.
Marked against the rubric above and returned as a written letter, saved to your progress page. Do not submit until you have passed the self-check above.
Capabilities Covered
Bounded question designIntervention charterBaseline and comparisonCapacity-based evaluationEvidence-limited reporting
Tick it once you have submitted.Next: Session 10 →
Chapters 8 to 13 · The First InterventionSESSION 10
Buy, Build, or Wait
Session 10 of 15 · 25-Minute Module

Why This Matters

In Session 9 you chartered a first intervention. Today you decide who will carry it. Buying and building are not always opposite choices: a company can buy a model service, configure its own workflow and retain its data controls, or decide that the immediate investment should repair records or processes rather than introduce a model at all. Compare complete operating arrangements, not technology labels. A demonstration can be assembled quickly by a small team; a supported service needs security, continuity, monitoring, documentation and incident response for its whole operating life. This session closes Week 2. You will choose to buy, build, combine or wait, on the responsibility your company can actually sustain.

25-Minute Module
4:00 – 9:00
What a purchased service must demonstrate
  • Require evidence of relevant interfaces, access controls, export capability and failure behaviour. Reference customers and marketing material can inform diligence; they cannot replace evaluation on your intended use.
  • Establish who manages configuration changes, such as account categories or asset mappings, how they are tested and whether they create fees.
  • Treat continuity as an operating question: who responds if a source system fails or the supplier changes a material component? A general availability promise may not describe whether useful evidence reaches staff.
  • Configuration should preserve the narrower approved use. A product might technically support automatic action your company has not authorised. Do not expose every feature and rely on staff to remember the charter; keep the service on the rung of the Autonomy Ladder that was approved.
  • Demonstrate export and fallback while the relationship is working, as Session 8 required.
A reference customer tells you the product worked somewhere. Your evaluation tells you whether it works here.
14:00 – 19:00
When waiting is the better investment
  • Waiting can be rational where required evidence is unavailable, action cannot be executed or an essential control remains unresolved. It should be an active decision with a repair plan: what must change, who owns it and when the candidate will be reconsidered.
  • Record repair may have value independently of AI: correct asset identities, verified work findings and reconciled accounts improve ordinary operations. If that work resolves much of the original problem, the eventual model investment may become smaller or unnecessary; that is a useful result of the Sequencing Discipline.
  • Waiting is less useful when it means refusing any bounded use until the whole organisation reaches an undefined level of digital maturity. Assess readiness at the decision level: a low-consequence document task may be feasible while a maintenance prediction is not.
  • ChoiceAppropriate conditionResponsibility retained
    BuyA product fits the task and can pass local acceptanceLawful records use, operating policy and supplier oversight
    BuildDistinctive needs justify control and support capacity existsFull service ownership, evaluation and maintenance
    CombineCommercial components fit a controlled company workflowIntegration, boundaries and complete accountability
    Wait and repairA critical evidence, control or execution gap remainsA funded repair plan and dated reconsideration
  • These choices remain revisable, but significant changes belong in a fresh investment review, not informal extensions of an earlier approval.
Waiting is a decision with an owner and a date. Without them it is drift.
Key Terms

Wait and repair

An active decision to defer a model while a critical gap is repaired, with a funded plan and a dated reconsideration.

Rollback

A tested route back to the previous working configuration after a failed deployment, supported by the release record.

Self-Check — Before You Submit
1. A fictional mini-grid operator cannot reliably link meters to customer accounts, and its collections staff cannot act on more cases than they already handle. A supplier offers a ready product used by other operators. What is the most defensible choice?
  • A. Buy now, because the product is proven elsewhere
  • B. Wait and repair, with an owner and a dated reconsideration
  • C. Build internally, because control removes the record problem
  • D. Combine the product with an internal workflow now
B. Wait and repair, with an owner and a dated reconsideration — Waiting is rational where required evidence is unavailable or action cannot be executed, provided it is an active decision with a repair plan. Buying because it is proven elsewhere is the tempting error: no sourcing route supplies missing records or capacity.
2. A committee compares a supplier's full-service quotation with an internal estimate covering only developer time, and favours the build as cheaper. What is wrong?
  • A. Nothing, provided both figures are in naira
  • B. Internal builds always cost more
  • C. The supplier quotation should be discounted for risk
  • D. The scopes differ: the estimate omits support, controls and exit
D. The scopes differ: the estimate omits support, controls and exit — Costs must be compared on a common scope and period, including implementation, recurring service, internal support, controls and exit. Assuming either route is always cheaper is also a trap.
3. A purchased product can technically take automatic action on customer accounts, but your company has approved it only to recommend cases for review. How should it be configured?
  • A. To preserve the narrower approved use
  • B. With every feature enabled, relying on staff to follow the charter
  • C. With automatic action on for a trial period
  • D. As the supplier's standard operating method recommends
A. To preserve the narrower approved use — Configuration should preserve the narrower approved use rather than expose every feature and rely on staff to remember the charter. Enabling automatic action for a trial grants authority the company has not approved, which is a different decision on the Autonomy Ladder.

Today’s Assignment

Write Section 10 of your plan: buy, build, combine or wait for your Session 1 decision, decided on the responsibility your company can sustain.
  • Choose buy, build, combine or wait and repair, justified on strategic relevance and the responsibility your company can sustain.
  • If buying or combining: what the purchased service must demonstrate on your intended use, and how configuration keeps the approved use narrow.
  • If building or combining: what the internal build must carry, with any learning objective kept separate from the operating return.
  • If waiting: write the repair plan, naming what must change, who owns it and the date of reconsideration.
  • Compare the options on a common scope and period, and name any safety or legal condition that needs separate approval.
  • The honest part: where your company has previously compared a full quotation with a partial internal estimate, or called drift a decision to wait. If no AI is in use yet, that is normal; the right answer may be to wait and repair. Aim for 400 to 900 words.
YOUR 90-DAY PLAN

Section 10 — Buy, build or wait, decided on the responsibility we can sustain.

How this is marked — the rubric
Justifies the route on strategic relevance and sustainable responsibility25
States what the service must demonstrate or the build must carry, or a dated repair plan25
Compares options on a common scope and period, with separate approval conditions named30
Keeps the choice revisable, with an honest example20
Total · pass mark 70100
Submitting session 10
Write your answer in Word or Google Docs. The first line must read Session: 10, or the submission is refused. Upload the Word file (.docx), or switch to the Google Doc tab and paste your document’s share link.
Marked against the rubric above and returned as a written letter, saved to your progress page. Do not submit until you have passed the self-check above.
ASSESSMENT NOW OPEN

Practice Exam 2 — Foundations, Procurement and the First Intervention opens now. Sit it before you start the next session — it is how you find out whether the doctrine landed, and the practice papers may be resat as often as you like.

15 questions · 25 minutes · covers Sessions 1–10 · pass mark 70
Sit Practice Exam 2 →Closed book, no notes, and Coach Ritchie switches himself off while you sit it.
Capabilities Covered
Sourcing decisionsSupplier diligenceInternal build ownershipActive waitingConsistent cost comparison
Tick it once you have submitted.Next: Session 11 →
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